Markets We Serve
– Phoenix
Robust Hiring Sustains Elevated Apartment Demand; Developers Aggressively Add Units to Keep Pace
Diverse job creation fueling elevated construction across the metro. Corporate expansions are becoming more frequent in the Valley adding 500 jobs over the next few years. In addition, employment growth in the medical sector should be more prevalent moving forward as there are several healthcare projects taking place, headlined by the large expansion of the Mayo Clinic and Chandler Regional Medical Center.
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Jobs at these facilities will help bolster the market’s already robust rental demand; however, vacancy is expected to rise this year as builders finalize more than 10,000 apartments, the highest delivery total since 2000. This period of supply infusion should subside in the coming years as demand catches up to the metro’s accelerated pace of construction. Despite elevated levels of construction, rent growth remains notably strong, pushing rents over the $1,100 mark.
Local buyers target remaining value-add opportunities in Phoenix proper. Out of state investors, particularly those coming from the West Coast, continue to home in on the market’s luxury complexes. Here, cap rates generally sit in the high-4 percent band, about 100 basis points below the metro average. For the sixth consecutive year, Phoenix’s average effective rent grows by more than 6 percent, moving the figure to $1,136 per month, roughly $260 below the national measure.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
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Jobs at these facilities will help bolster the market’s already robust rental demand; however, vacancy is expected to rise this year as builders finalize more than 10,000 apartments, the highest delivery total since 2000. This period of supply infusion should subside in the coming years as demand catches up to the metro’s accelerated pace of construction. Despite elevated levels of construction, rent growth remains notably strong, pushing rents over the $1,100 mark.
Local buyers target remaining value-add opportunities in Phoenix proper. Out of state investors, particularly those coming from the West Coast, continue to home in on the market’s luxury complexes. Here, cap rates generally sit in the high-4 percent band, about 100 basis points below the metro average. For the sixth consecutive year, Phoenix’s average effective rent grows by more than 6 percent, moving the figure to $1,136 per month, roughly $260 below the national measure.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
– Inland Empire
Consistently Tight Vacancy Has Out-of-Market Investors Eager to Expand Inland Portfolios
Diverse hiring, stable rental demand sustain minimal vacant stock. The expansion of e-commerce, combined with an influx of health and construction jobs, maintains the Riverside-San Bernardino region as Southern California’s fastest growing economy in 2019. The wealth of job openings this year will sustain a stout rate of household formation, generating a need for rentals during a period of strong single-family home price appreciation.
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Consistent demand for apartments in 2019 supports new leasing, which exceeds 2,000 units for a second straight year, nearly negating the impact of increased supply. Limited vacancy across all asset classes and an extended span of strong rent growth bolster the region’s already mixed-buyer pool in 2019. Investors will scour areas for larger Class B and C apartments, typically seeking first-year returns in the high 4 percent to high 5 percent range, dependent on location. Annual rent growth surpasses 5 percent for a seventh consecutive year, lifting the metro’s average effective rate to $1,580 per month.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
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Consistent demand for apartments in 2019 supports new leasing, which exceeds 2,000 units for a second straight year, nearly negating the impact of increased supply. Limited vacancy across all asset classes and an extended span of strong rent growth bolster the region’s already mixed-buyer pool in 2019. Investors will scour areas for larger Class B and C apartments, typically seeking first-year returns in the high 4 percent to high 5 percent range, dependent on location. Annual rent growth surpasses 5 percent for a seventh consecutive year, lifting the metro’s average effective rate to $1,580 per month.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
– Orange County
Limited Housing Options, Cycle-Low Vacancy Enable Metro to Absorb Third Crop of New Supply
Entering 2019, Orange County’s median home price has reached $820,000, with the gap between a mortgage payment and average monthly rent sitting at $2,600 per month. While these values make home ownership unobtainable for many residents, low unemployment and median income nearing $90,000 suggest many households can afford higher priced rentals. Spanning the past two years, nearly 9,000 such units were delivered, with the metro’s overall vacancy rate declining by 20 basis points during that time.
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Sensing an additional need for luxury apartments, developers will finalize more than 4,000 rentals for the third straight year in 2019. Projects adjacent to Angel Stadium or directly off Interstates 5 and 405 in Laguna Niguel and Irvine account for more than half of this delivery volume. Overall, demand for both new units and more affordable Class B and C apartments translates to nearly 3,900 new leases this year, maintaining vacancy at a mid-3 percent level.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
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Sensing an additional need for luxury apartments, developers will finalize more than 4,000 rentals for the third straight year in 2019. Projects adjacent to Angel Stadium or directly off Interstates 5 and 405 in Laguna Niguel and Irvine account for more than half of this delivery volume. Overall, demand for both new units and more affordable Class B and C apartments translates to nearly 3,900 new leases this year, maintaining vacancy at a mid-3 percent level.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
State
Seattle’s Vibrant Employment Market Continues To Drive In-Migration
Seattle has been one of the strongest single-family housing markets in the nation, but rising interest rates, high home prices and comparably low rental rates have tamped down home-buyer enthusiasm, ensuring a strong renter pool this year. More than 12,000 apartments are slated for completion this year, a new high for the current cycle.
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Vacancy will soften with such a large influx of new units, leading to localized concession activity in areas where the most new units were added. Robust residential expansion provides investors with range of opportunities. Healthy employment growth, improving mass-transit options and challenges in the widening affordability gap for homeownership provide apartment investors with many opportunities across the region.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report
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Vacancy will soften with such a large influx of new units, leading to localized concession activity in areas where the most new units were added. Robust residential expansion provides investors with range of opportunities. Healthy employment growth, improving mass-transit options and challenges in the widening affordability gap for homeownership provide apartment investors with many opportunities across the region.
Marcus & Millichap Multi-Housing Report